Prediction about the theory of everything
A bet on the correct theory of everything
Prediction about the final theory
Checking the final theory
Even the faintest whisper about the unification of physics must stand up to experiment with predictions and tests.
Prediction about the unification of physics
A bet about unification and the unified theory
• Possible tests with particle experiments
• Possible tests with gravity experiments
• Possible theoretical tests
• Present limitations of the prediction
• Why you should bet against the strand conjecture
• Why you should not bet against it
The prediction, in six parts:Papers and preprints explaining how the predictions arise are found here.
Tests about unification
Possible tests with particle experiments (of part 1 and 3):
- Any deviation of any kind that is detected from quantum field theory, in particular from the standard model of particle physics and its Lagrangian (with massive Dirac neutrinos) – such as triple-Z or triple photon vertices – implies that the prediction is falsified.
- If any unknown elementary particle is observed – including but not limited to a fourth generation lepton or quark, any unknown dark matter elementary particle, an additional elementary gauge boson, an additional elementary Higgs boson, a supersymmetric partner, a sterile neutrino, a Majorana neutrino, glueballs, an inflaton, a dilaton, a magnetic monopole, a dyon, an anyon, or an axion – the prediction is falsified.
- If any deviation from the quark model is observed – including scalar mesons, CP violation in other hadrons, additional generations – the prediction is falsified.
- If any unknown fundamental interaction or interaction property is discovered – including but not limited to a fifth force, grand unification, a new gauge group, CP-violation in the strong interaction, a new charge, a new conservation law, a new quantum number, additional spatial dimensions, the breaking of established symmetries, or any non-conservation in contrast with the standard model – the prediction is falsified.
- If any new fundamental constant is discovered in particle physics – thus in addition to the known masses, mixings and couplings – the prediction is falsified.
- If any new energy scale in high energy physics is discovered – and thus the so-called energy desert is disproven, e.g., with a composite Higgs, a see-saw mechanism, or a GUT scale – the prediction is falsified.
- If any elementary particle with energy larger than the (corrected) Planck energy is observed, the prediction is falsified.
- If any physical effect from quantities beyond the (corrected) Planck limits is observed – including but not limited to electromagnetic field values or speeds or accelerations larger than the (corrected) Planck limits, effects from singularities, effects of action values, length or time intervals smaller that the (corrected) Planck limits – the prediction is falsified. Also if physical speeds above c or physical actions below ℏ are observed, the prediction is falsified.
- If the tangle model of elementary particles is contradicted by future observations in any way – such as fundamental constants varying in space or time across the universe, large electric dipole moments, anomalous magnetic moments that contradict quantum field theory, or any of the additional tests mentioned in the preprints found here – the prediction is falsified.
Possible tests with gravity experiments (of part 2 and 3):
- Any deviation of any kind that is observed from general relativity (and its Hilbert Lagrangian) at sub-galactic distances implies that the prediction is falsified.
- If any new quantum gravity effect – such as the detection of single gravitons, the quantum interference of gravitational fields, or quantum gravity effects of the vacuum on distant galaxy images – is discovered, the prediction is falsified.
- If any momentum flow or force larger than the corrected Planck limit c4/4G or any power/luminosity larger than the corrected Planck limit c5/4G is observed, the prediction is falsified. They correspond to about 50 000 solar masses per second. Also if any mass flow larger than c3/4G or any mass to length ratio above c2/4G is observed, the prediction is falsified. Also if physical speeds above c are observed, the prediction is falsified.
- If the charge limit for black holes, their angular momentum limit, their magnetic moment limit, the hoop conjecture, the Penrose conjecture, or the predicted lack of singularities is violated, the prediction is falsified.
- If the strand conjecture about gravitation is contradicted by future observations in any way – such as a running of the gravitational constant, a non-trivial topology of space, wormholes, cosmic strings, torsion, a number of dimensions different from three, negative energy regions, different vacuum states, or any of the additional tests mentioned in the preprints found here – the prediction is falsified.
Possible theoretical tests (of part 4, 5 and 6):
- If any other non-equivalent approach for unification or for the microscopic description of space is confirmed – including additional or grand unified gauge groups, technicolor, supersymmetry, additional dimensions, see-saw mechanisms, supergravity, string theory, loop quantum gravity, elementary particles as ribbons, causal dynamical triangulations, quantum foam, amplituhedrons, torsion, multiverse, elementary particles as knots, micro-wormholes, non-commutative space-time, causal fermion systems, Planck-scale black holes, but also any other, future unification approach – then the prediction is falsified.
- If the validity in nature of the principle of least action is ever explained in any way that differs from the strand conjecture – i.e., by minimizing crossing switch number – the prediction is falsified.
- If the Planck scale is ever found not to play a role in nature, then the prediction is falsified.
- If the millennium challenge about the mass-gap problem is solved in any way that differs from the strand conjecture – i.e., that no other gauge theories exist – the prediction is falsified.
- If Hilbert's sixth problem about the axiomatic formulation of physics is solved in any way that differs from the strand conjecture – i.e., that no axiomatic system is possible, just a consistent description – the prediction is falsified.
- If a background-free or a background-independent description of motion is achieved, the prediction is falsified.
- If the strand conjecture – i.e., the tangle model of elementary particles, the strand model of space, and the weave model of horizons – is found to be inconsistent, not unique, modifiable, not complete, not unified or otherwise not final, the prediction is falsified.
- If the elementary particle spectrum (with all quantum numbers) and the elementary particle interactions (with their gauge groups and all other properties) are not determined by specific tangle families, their topological properties and their deformations, but by some other way, the prediction is falsified.
- If the existence of fundamental constants in the standard model – couplings, masses and mixings – is not due to strand fluctuations, the prediction is falsified.
- If the number of spatial dimensions is ever explained in a different way than by strands – tangling is not possible in other dimensions – the prediction is falsified.
- If the values of the fundamental constants of the standard model – fine structure constant, nuclear couplings, masses and mixings – that are calculated from strand fluctuations disagree with experiments, the prediction is falsified.
- If any observation or question – such as the matter-antimatter ratio in the universe – remains unexplained or unanswered in the strand conjecture, the prediction is falsified. (However, see also the next section.)
Present limitations of the prediction
- The prediction does not yet include values for the neutrino masses, because the calculation of masses with the strand conjecture is a hard mathematical problem. As explained in the preprint on colours, only rough estimates are possible so far (beginning of 2020).
- The prediction does not yet include two cosmological issues – dark energy and deviations from general relativity at galactic and cosmological distances – because the implication of the strand conjecture in this domain are not yet clear (at the beginning of 2020).
The aim remains to extend the list of tests and to reduce the limitations of the prediction.
Why you should bet against the strand conjecture
- Everything – particles, space, horizons – is made of strands? That's crazy!
- The lack of deviations from present theories (part 1 and 2 of the prediction) and the existence of Planck limits (part 3 of the prediction) contradict each other, at least at first sight.
- Strands predict the lack of unknown fundamental physics – i.e., that we know already "everything" in this domain (part 1 and 2 of the prediction) – and in the past this prediction has always been utterly wrong.
- The strand conjecture is counter-intuitive: it requires to get used to the idea that every particle in nature is tethered. This old proposal by Dirac is usually dismissed as a mere analogy.
- The strand conjecture proposes a microscopic model for quantum theory that agrees with decoherence, despite the failure, without exception, of all such attempts in the past, by numerous researchers in this domain.
- The tangle model for particles arises directly from Planck-scale physics, without any additional concept or mathematical structure; this possibility goes against the convictions of many researchers and is usually dismissed as impossible.
- The strand conjecture describes quantum theory as consequence of a minimal action – as Bohr did – and general relativity as consequence of a maximum force – as several researchers did in the past. This view is not shared by the majority of physicists.
- The tangle model for particles describes events, interactions, physical processes and the full standard model with simple pictures and almost no mathematical formulae; this possibility goes against the convictions of many researchers and is usually dismissed as unsound.
- The strand conjecture proposes a specific model for the microscopic details of space. The proposal differs from all the proposals that were explored by hundreds of researchers in the past.
- The strand conjecture predicts the lack of new quantum gravity effects, of new discoveries in particle physics, and of new discoveries in fundamental physics. This goes against the hopes and dreams of many researchers.
- The strand conjecture is not axiomatic. This goes against the aims of most researchers.
- Even in early 2020, only a small number of theoretical physicists are known to believe part 1 of the prediction (arxiv.org/abs/2001.09088 is an unrelated example). Agreement with parts 2 and 3 of the prediction is downright rare (arxiv.org/abs/1701.06343 is an example). And only a few physicists consider the strand conjecture (part 4, 5 and 6 of the prediction) to be of interest.
- Calculating the fundamental constants is a hard (but fascinating) mathematical problem.
"Bets" that support our non-profit will be considered. In principle, the prediction has no end in time. Due to finite lifetime of homo sapiens, an earlier date for a challenge would be more practical, such as 1 September 2030. More about this on the blog on strands.
Why you should not bet against the strand conjecture
- So far, all consequences – all retrodictions and all predictions – agree with all known experiments.