Even the faintest whisper about the unification of physics must stand up to experiment with new tests and new predictions. The ones given below were deduced by Christoph Schiller from the strand conjecture, or strand tangle model, i.e., from the statement that the Dirac trick at the Planck scale describes motion and nature completely.

At present, every prediction listed below agrees with data, and every test proposed below is positive. In simple words, strands predict – since about 2014 – that the search for physics beyond the standard model (with massive Dirac neutrinos) and – since about 2000 – that the search for physics beyond general relativity will be unsuccessful. Indeed, strands predict that the search for new physics will be as unsuccessful as all the searches for trans-Planckian physics.

In addition, strands make about two dozen positive predictions: the value of each particle mass, of each mixing angle and of each coupling constant can be deduced from the strand model.

 
● The predictions and the bet about fundamental physics – in four parts
● Tests with particle experiments – of bet part 1
● Tests with gravity experiments – of bet part 2
● Theoretical tests – of bet parts 3 and 4
● Present limitations and timeline of the predictions
● Do you want to bet on or against this fascinating issue of modern science?
● Why you should bet against the strand conjecture
● Why you should bet on the strand conjecture
 

The predictions and the bet about fundamental physics – in four parts

1. No deviation from the standard model of particle physics (with massive Dirac neutrinos and PMNS mixing) will ever be observed. Thus also no exception to the invariant local limits c, and /c. (Prediction valid since 1973.)
 
2. No deviation from general relativity (at sub-galactic distances) will ever be observed. Thus also no exception to the invariant local limits c, c5/4G, c4/4G, c3/4G and c2/4G. (Prediction valid since 1915.)
 
3. Every observation in elementary particle physics is explained by the fundamental Planck-scale principle of the strand conjecture, i.e., by Dirac's trick at the Planck scale. The assumptions are minimal, clear and unmodifiable. No other, inequivalent approach will achieve this completeness of explanation. (Prediction valid since 2014.)
 
4. Calculating the fundamental constants of the standard model – the mass of the electron and of the other elementary particles, the fine structure constant and the nuclear coupling constants, and all mixing angles and CP phases – is possible with strands. No other, inequivalent approach will achieve this calculation. (Prediction valid since 2014.)

The research page lists papers and preprints explaining how these rather daring predictions arise. The rest of this page shows how to test and falsify both the predictions and the strand conjecture itself.

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Tests with particle experiments – of bet part 1:

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Tests with gravity experiments – of bet part 2:

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Theoretical tests – of bet parts 3 and 4:

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Present limitations and timeline of the predictions

The aim remains to extend the list of tests in cosmology and to improve the calculations of the fundamental constants. The predictions have no end in time. Due to the finite lifetime of homo sapiens, an earlier date for a bet about them is more practical, such as 1 September 2030.

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Do you want to bet on or against this fascinating issue of modern science?

Thousands have worked and are still working on unification, one of the most captivating problems in science. Do you want to bet about the best path to unification? Then write me at christoph@motionmountain.net. I will bet on one or several predictions of the strand conjecture, privately or publicly, even on the long bets website.

Are you a researcher from a university, CERN, another research institution or a funding organisation? You can bet against the conjecture by finding (or funding) a single effect (or experiment) showing physics beyond the standard model or beyond general relativity. Or you can bet on the conjecture and support strand research with 0.001% (10 ppm) of your annual budget. If donor anonymity is desired, it will be respected.

Are you a donor or a sponsor thinking about a medium-sized contribution or bet? Given the promising results so far, the Motion Mountain Physikverein and I make an unusual offer: if desired, in the case that just one of the hundreds of predictions and tests given above fails, the received financial support for strand research will be refunded. In short: strand conjecture falsified, money back.

Are you a donor or a sponsor thinking about a large bet or contribution? In this case, the Motion Mountain Physikverein and I make an additional offer: if another, inequivalent conjecture about the unification of physics arises – explaining particles and forces, estimating fundamental constants, and explaining least action and the number of dimensions – then the received financial support for strand research will also be refunded. Even if the strand conjecture is not falsified. In short: strand conjecture not unique, money back.

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Why you should bet against the strand conjecture

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Why you should bet on the strand conjecture

  1. So far, every consequence of the strand conjecture – and every prediction – agrees with all known experiments. Since the year (2019) that the predictions were listed on this page and published in the first journals all checks are positive. (In fact, most predictions are from 2009, some, such as maximum force and the lack of deviation from general relativity, are from 2000.)
  2. The strand model is based on a discovery in fundamental physics that is experiencing growing interest: maximum force. This limit principle, combined with the ideas of Dirac and of Battey-Pratt and Racey, led to the fundamental principle of the strand conjecture.
  3. The strand conjecture is the first conjecture (and so far one of only a few) that explains the elementary particles and all their properties. Strands explain why there are three particle generations and why protons have the same charge as positrons.
  4. The strand conjecture is the first conjecture (and so far one of only a few) that explains the four interactions and their properties. Strands explain quantum field theory, the gauge groups, the gauge interaction Lagrangians, the full standard model Lagrangian, the vanishing vacuum energy and the lack of a Landau pole; strands explain the field equations of general relativity, the Hilbert Lagrangian, black hole entropy and the no-hair theorem.
  5. The strand conjecture is the first conjecture (and so far one of only a few) that estimates the fundamental constants ab initio. Strands predict the normal neutrino mass sequence and a rough value for the weak mixing angle, ab initio; and by explaining the fine structure constant and the mass of the electron more precisely – and ab initio – strands will explain all colours in nature.
  6. The strand conjecture is the first conjecture and so far the only one that explains everything ab initio in (fundamental) physics. It explains the principle of least action, the dimensionality of space, all conventional "principles", and all Lagrangians used in physics. All consequences of the strand conjecture – all explanations and all predictions – derive from a single principle at the Planck scale. There is no way to modify the strand conjecture. There is no way (except by changing tangle–particle assignments) to change the predictions of the conjecture. And no questions in fundamental physics are left unanswered.
  7. Finally, the strand conjecture fits on a T-shirt, as often required. The T-shirt contains and agrees with all of textbook physics. And of course, the strand conjecture is based only on professional physics books, papers and journals and is published only in such journals. And of course, the strand conjecture gets no points on the various crackpot indices. Above all, the strand conjecture agrees with all available experimental data - but remains falsifiable. In fact, the numerous predictions on this page, in the publications and in the preprints – and the many people working on those topics – make falsification easy in principle, as is required by any candidate theory in physics.

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